Hi all, I am new to Forex and I am looking for a calculator to help with my demo account. I am looking for something to determine the lot size based on risk and possible something to tell me what my minimum take profit should be to cover the initial trade. It does not matter if the app is paid or not, I just prefer it not have ads if possible. If it can tell me what a good trailing stop would be and stop loss that would be helpful as well.
submitted by Strategy details:
50 SMA STRAT: When price is ABOVE the SMA look for BUYS. When price is BELOW the SMA look for SELLS. Trend lines will be placed and once price has broken the trendline I will enter on the retest (for the second backtest i did the breakouts) and look at the SMA for the last confirmation on the direction of price. I will only be looking for trading opportunities that offer 1:1.
CONFIRMATION CHECKLIST: Is it a clear trend on ALL my main timeframes? (H1, H4, Daily)
Is price about to break/already broken/retesting?
Is price above or below the SMA?
Can I get at least 1:1 Risk To Reward?
Is a news event with MAJOR IMPACT about to happen?
https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar Calculate size before entering trade
https://www.myfxbook.com/forex-calculators/position-size
Pair: GBP/USD
RETEST BACKTEST:
41 TRADES IN TOTAL
19 Winning (19/Total Number Of Trades 41=46% Win Rate)
Trade 1: 27 pips
Trade 2: 36 pips
Trade 3: 39 pips
Trade 4: 30 pips
Trade 5: 40 pips
Trade 6: 35 pips
Trade 7: 34 pips
Trade 8: 35 pips
Trade 9: 30 pips
Trade 10: 35 pips
Trade 11: 35 pips
Trade 12: 30 pips
Trade 13: 30 pips
Trade 14: 30 pips
Trade 15: 20 pips
Trade 16: 22 pips
Trade 17: 22 pips
Trade 18: 30 pips
Trade 19: 62 pips
TOTAL=622 Pips
£62.20 profit on 0.01 lots
20 Losing
Trade 1: 30 pips
Trade 2: 27 pips
Trade 3: 34 pips
Trade 4: 30 pips
Trade 5: 30 pips
Trade 6: 34 pips
Trade 7: 30 pips
Trade 8: 30 pips
Trade 9: 30 pips
Trade 10: 35 pips
Trade 11: 30 pips
Trade 12: 30 pips
Trade 13: 25 pips
Trade 14: 25 pips
Trade 15: 25 pips
Trade 16: 20 pips
Trade 17: 30 pips
Trade 18: 25 pips
Trade 19: 30 pips
Trade 20: 29 pips
TOTAL=579 pips
£57.90 loss on 0.01 lots
2 Breakeven
£62.20 - £57.90 = £4.30
BREAKOUT BACKTEST:
TOTAL TRADES 54
24 Winning (24/55 total=43% Win Rate)
Trade 1: 20 pips
Trade 2: 30 pips
Trade 3: 5 pips
Trade 4: 30 pips
Trade 5: 10 pips
Trade 6: 30 pips
Trade 7: 4 pips
Trade 8: 30 pips
Trade 9: 30 pips
Trade 10: 30 pips
Trade 11: 6 pips
Trade 12: 30 pips
Trade 13: 30 pips
Trade 14: 30 pips
Trade 15: 30 pips
Trade 16: 30 pips
Trade 17: 30 pips
Trade 18: 25 pips
Trade 19: 30 pips
Trade 20: 30 pips
Trade 21: 30 pips
Trade 22: 30 pips
Trade 23: 30 pips
Trade 24: 30 pips
Trade 5: 6 pips
TOTAL PIPS=610 pips
£61
24 Losing
Trade 1: 14 pips
Trade 2: 30 pips
Trade 3: 30 pips
Trade 4: 14 pips
Trade 5: 14 pips
Trade 6: 30 pips
Trade 7: 30 pips
Trade 8: 25 pips
Trade 9: 30 pips
Trade 10: 5 pips
Trade 11: 30 pips
Trade 12: 30 pips
Trade 13: 5 pips
Trade 14: 30 pips
Trade 15: 25 pips
Trade 16: 35 pips
Trade 17: 15 pips
Trade 18: 30 pips
Trade 19: 18 pips
Trade 20: 15 pips
Trade 21: 18 pips
Trade 22: 10 pips
Trade 23: 30 pips
Trade 24: 30 pips
TOTAL=543 pips
£54.30
Breakeven 5
£61-£54.30=£7.70
Edit: In the second backtest you'll notice for some trades it was like 4 pips, 5 pips, etc. With those trades i either exited early to avoid the full loss.
I am a big believer in the concept that one of the best (maybe the best but it is subjective) ways to make money money in the markets comes down to patience and well timed aggression.
There are some extreme golden opportunities in the markets and to a trained eye they are often very easy to spot and relatively easy to trade.
The tricky bit is not losing during all the other times haha.
Patience ... well timed aggression.
I have been quite stagnant in my trading for a few weeks and then as the Brexit was due, got extremely active and we got the best trades of my FX life (in terms of how quickly the results came, we have had swing trades achieve similar results over 6 months or so).
We done far better than I expected but I had always been saying that the opportunity comes AFTER the Brexit, the market will mis price some things and as it happens, some things strongly broke SR levels.
So... now it is game time.
Not only on the Pound although it is in focus but in general this volatility jump presents multiple opportunities.
I will keep a running commentary on some of the analysis I have, moves I am looking to make and where I feel the money is to be made here if you'd like to follow along.
Things to take note of;
1 - Not all my trades win, I am rarely over 70% accurate over a longish time period.
2 - My strategies are risk:reward based and expected to be profitable on risk:reward basis.
3 - Money management used is a set percentage basis, so on every trade the same amount of risk is used, lot sizes are adjusted based on the number of pips in stop loss .
http://www.myfxbook.com/forex-calculators/position-size helps with this.
4 - Correlation risk is real! If I am for example selling GBPUSD, GBPJPY, GBPAUD and GBPNZD, to risk 2% on each trade is really more like a 8% risk .
This should be considered and to use 0.5% risk in each trade here would be shroud, rather than 2% in each.
http://www.myfxbook.com/forex-market/correlation 5 - Any thing I post is for educational purposes only, I am not telling you to trade anything in the markets, any trades you take are exclusively at your own risk and you should do you own analysis and due diligence.
6 - I am not your, or anyone's financial adviser. I hold no qualification for this, I am just a guy on the internet.
7 - The strategies and tactics I use are ones I have used for a long time and found them to be successful but there is absolutely no assurance they will be profitable in the future.
8 - At times there will perhaps be a portfolio approach or sympathetic hedging approach used.
Lets say for example. I am short on GBPUSD with a 300 pips stop and 600 pips target from a larger chart and the Pound is rallying against this position, I may start to look for short term momentum buys on GBPJPY,
Let's say the GU hits 300 pips stop and GY wins 50 pips for a 50 pips stop, because of the money management method used, the GY trade has covered the GU risk.
9 - If you can not afford the pips, you can not take the trade.
We are in volatile times and some stops will have to be several 100 pips and even at that be somewhat tight, if losing the trade on the smallest lot size you can trade would exceed an acceptable level of risk, do not trade.
10 - Don't think I have a 10 but we got to 9 and it's good to finish on a round number.
Analysis will be posted in comments.
Calculating lot sizes to risk a set amount of risk can be tricky sometimes, especially when you are new. Different currency pairs have different values per pip (L2A) and it takes some time to get to know them all.
There are some general rules of thumb (L2A) you can follow to get decent estimates but it is better to be able to be precise in your position sizing.
Myfxbook have a great tool for this. You can enter into it your account size, the percentage you want to risk (L2A) and the number of pips in your stop loss. Then it will tell you the lot size, along with the dollar risk.
https://preview.redd.it/g691olkxjy421.png?width=844&format=png&auto=webp&s=f9c66e1c0c88e4e6571b96b689b507acac995781
The tool is simple and intuitive to use.
You can get it here.
This is just one of the many free trading tools/resources Myfxbook offers. (L2A)
L2A = Link to be added.
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